Reuters/Ipso 'Fixes' Its Poll - And Makes it Even Worse

If you've been reading this blog you've known for more than a month now that the Reuters/Ipsos poll has severe methodology issues, consistently over-sampling Democrat voters by as much as 10% of the overall sample. As a result of this consistent, unaddressed issue, the poll showed Hillary Clinton leading by 15% one day in mid-July when no other poll had her lead registering at over 5%, with most having it within 1-2%.

Even though this ridiculous sampling method produced wildly-outlying results, Reuters/Ipsos did nothing to change its method until last week, when, even with its over-sampling of Democrat voters, the poll showed Trump suddenly moving into the lead following the GOP National Convention.

Now suddenly the folks who run the poll are recognizing they have a systemic problem in their polling method and are moving to "fix" it - only they're NOT fixing the problem that really exists, just "fixing" the method so that it will reliably show Hillary back in the lead.

Your fake national news media in action, folks.

Time for a Change

After last night's boorish proceedings, at least we now know why Hillary Clinton's people didn't want anyone talking about ISIS and Islamic terrorism:  the two men who attempted to do so - including a heroic medal of honor winner - were roundly booed by a crowd chanting "No More War".  Ms. Clinton obviously had wanted to avoid such a damning spectacle. But there is no controlling the radical element that is now verging on becoming the majority in the Democratic Party.

And there is no going back.  With radical anti-American teachings having now taken full control of the country's universities, this element will fully command the mainstream of the D Party soon, probably by the 2020 elections.  It's inevitable.

On the GOP side, Donald Trump represents a disenchantment with the "Bush" wing of the Republican Party that has been growing since 2004.  A consistent near- 2/3rds of voters in the Republican primary process rejected the mainstream, internationalist, open borders candidates like Jeb!, Marco Rubio, John Kasich and others, dividing their votes instead between Trump, Ben Carson and Ted Cruz.

The Bushies are now a small minority of the GOP voter base, and there is no going back from there, either.

What this election season foreshadows is a future in which the two party system that has dominated our electoral process for 170 years is soon replaced by a system in which four or more parties vie for enough power to make themselves a part of a governing coalition.  In other words, the U.S. electoral/governing process will in the coming years look a lot like the processes in most of the European democracies.

This is all inevitable, and probably for the best.  The current two-party system has produced a single truly great president in 40 years now.  By and large it has produced disasters.  This election season is no exception, with two candidates, both of whom have negative ratings over 60%.

Time for a change.

The Russians Are Coming! The Russians Are Coming!

It is clear now that all of the Clinton shills in our fake news media are going in whole hog on attempting to distract attention from the WikiLeaks publication of 20,000 DNC emails and the scandalous nature of what those emails contain by focusing on the laughable conspiracy theory that Vladimir Putin is behind it all.

Knowing now that Julian Assange has denied any connection to the Russians and that much, much more of the same sort of revelations are coming, the Democrats and their media agents are in full panic mode.  Latching onto confirmation from our now-disgraced FBI that the Russians have indeed hacked into the DNC servers over the last few years, news monkeys from fake media outlets are presenting this as "proof" that Vladimir Putin personally gave all of this information to WikiLeaks because he really, really likes Donald Trump.

By doing so, they hope viewers and readers will nod their heads and never realize that if the Russians were able to hack into the DNC system, there are probably about 3 million Millennials living in their grandmother's basements who could have easily done the same thing.

As always, they also expect the majority of Americans to be too ignorant or stupid to reason this all through logically.  Think about it:  If Putin wants to influence American policy, he already knows that the easiest way to do so is just make a huge contribution to the Clinton Crime Family Foundation and Hillary will gladly give him whatever he wants, which is exactly what happened when, as Secretary of State, she approved a deal that signs over 20% of U.S. uranium resources to the Russians shortly before Russian interests made a series of mult-million dollar donations to the Clinton Foundation.

Further, if Putin does indeed possess information that would incriminate Hillary even more than she's already been incriminated (hard to imagine, but let's wait and see), then the simplest way to use that to his advantage would be to help her get elected and then simply blackmail her.  He already knows she has no ethical standards at all and would willingly cooperate.

But the Clintons have survived and thrived on the ignorance of the American people for the last 25 years, thanks in large part to the help of their propaganda agents at the major fake media outlets.  So the narrative is today and will continue to be "The Russians are Coming! The Russians are Coming! Ignore the scandalous, criminal information that the leaks contain, look instead at this shiny object over here! The Russians are Coming!"

You don't need to believe me on this - just watch the news coverage over the next few weeks. If you're stupid enough to buy into it and go around parroting the talking points they are force-feeding you, then you deserve what you get in the future. But it pisses me off that you are intent on sentencing the rest of us to the same fate.

What We've Learned At The DNC So Far

What a fascinating and educational convention this has been so far for the Democrats in Philly.  Here are some of the things we have learned about the Democrats already this week, and it's only Wednesday:

• We've learned that commiting fraud is a literal badge of honor to the Democratic Party.  How else to explain prime time speaking slots for the likes of Fake Indian Elizabeth Warren;  Lena Dunham, who falsly accused a college contemporary of raping her; the giving of a cushy job to Debbie Wasserman Schultz after it was revealed she rigged the primary process in Hillary's favor; and don't even get me started on Bill Clinton - we'll be here all day if I go down that road;
• Then again, they just nominated the Most Corrupt Woman in America to be the Party's presidential nominee, so none of that should surprise us;
• We've learned that Black Lives Matter to Democrats but Blue Lives don't;
• We've learned that Democrats need the words of the Pledge of Allegiance displayed to them on a JumboTron, and that they will only grudgingly display the American Flag at their national convention when shamed into doing so;
• We've learned the global jihad being mounted by radical Islam doesn't even enter the mental radar of the average Democrat, as 61 speakers on Monday never made any mention at all of ISIS;
• We've learned that Democrats are fully in favor of building walls - they just want to build them to deny access to American citizens rather than foreign invaders;
• We've learned that Paul Simon is aging as poorly as Bill Clinton, and that Howard Dean is apparently not aging at all;
• And we've learned that there is no legitimacy in any sense to the Democratic presidential nominating process, and that Bernie Sanders is who we always really knew he was:  Just another sellout politician.

We've learned all of that, and there are still two more nights of this nonsense to go.

Tonight's DNC Agenda (Not Really)

DNC Agenda
Tuesday, July 26, 2016


6:30 - Convention gaveled to order by whomever happens to be Interim DNC Chair at the time

6:35 - God Damn America Invocation by Rev. Jeremiah Wright

6:45 - 7:00 - Anyone holding a Bernie Sanders sign will be transferred to a re-education camp outside of Chicago.  (Hillary has had enough of this crap, people.)

7:05 - 7:30 - Sarah Silverman and Paul Simon make a joint apology to the Convention for their respective performances on Monday night.

7:35 - 8:15 - Hillary Clinton makes a surprise appearance for an impromptu coughing fit.

8:20 - 8:30 - Music by Milli Vanilli

8:35 - 9:00 - Speech by Joe Biden focused on the takeover of our nation's 7-11s by "these people from India".

9:05 - 9:15 - INTERMISSION - (official DNC narrative memo will be handed out to reporters from CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS, MSNBC, the New York Times and the Washington Post at this time.)

9:20 - 10:00 - Remarks from Bill Clinton

10:05 - 10:15 - Benediction by Tom Cruise

10:20 - Convention gaveled to a close by whomever has been appointed as Interim DNC Chair since 6:30.

CLOSE

Trump's Perfect Night

"He's going to win," my good friend, a very astute participant in politics, told me over breakfast this morning.

"Yes, he is," I replied.

Both of us have pretty much felt that would turn out to be the case since last September.  If you understood the mood of the electorate, the cluelessness in that regard of his 16 Republican primary opponents, and the incredibly flawed lifetime criminal the Democrats were intent upon nominating, it wasn't really all that hard to see it coming.

Still, isn't it shocking?  This one man, whatever you think of him, has completely overturned one of our two traditional major political parties, and essentially created a new one with a new mission by nothing more really than the sheer force of his will. 

He has demonstrated conclusively that our national politics doesn't have to be about who hires the most expensive consultants, who raises and spends the most money, whose consultants are able to come up with the slickest campaign ads, and who can most ably recite their 5 major talking points in response to any question they happen to be asked.  It's been this way for so long, we've all forgotten that it really doesn't have to be.

And think about what that meant this week for the Republican Party.  This is now a party at which a speaker can get up on the stage, talk about how proud he is to be a gay man, and receive a roaring standing ovation.  That is change.

The GOP is now a party at whose convention the nominee's daughter can advocate for more federal help for working mothers and receive a resounding round of applause.  That is change.

The GOP is now a party whose revised voter base - who turned out in massive, record numbers during the primary season - has put its elected representatives on notice that the excuse-making in which they have uniformly engaged for not getting anything done over the last six years just won't cut it anymore.  Going forward, there will either be results, or there will be new representatives getting elected.

All of this happened through the vision of Trump to clearly recognize the mood of the voters, and use that mood to his advantage through the force of his will.  No one else can take credit for this.

His speech was not perfect, far from it.  It was too loud, devoid of nuance, unsophisticated in its delivery.  But the messages it contained were spot on, exactly what he needed to deliver in order to unite the GOP voter base behind him and begin to expand that base with clear, unambiguous appeals to the independents who will ultimately decide the election.

Naturally, all of the "analysts" at CNN hated it, which in this election season is a pretty sure indicator that it was extremely effective.

Trump will definitely get the bounce in the polls he needed out of this convention, likely enough to take a lead in the polling data next week.  More importantly, he laid the groundwork to continue building on that bounce in the weeks and months to come.

"He's going to win."  Yes, friend, he is.

Why The Trump Kids Matter

Once one plows past all the fake media noise about Melania's supposed plagiarism and Ted Cruz getting booed off the stage, what is the main thing any normal person with functioning brain synapses will remember about this GOP National Convention?

Trump's kids.  Right?  Wow, what incredible kids.  What eloquence.  What composure, even from Tiffany, who just got out of college.  What amazing love, respect and admiration every one of them express for their father.  And we haven't even heard yet from Ivanka, who, at age 34, is probably the most accomplished of them all and her father's closest advisor.

Not even the flea bags who infest CNN have been able to find a means of slandering any of them yet, and you have to know they've been feverishly trying to come up with something.  That's what CNN does to Republicans, after all.

Don't let the fake media fool you:  These four kids are without any question at all the most important aspect of this convention in terms of influencing how this election will turn out.

Why?  Because no father who has turned out four such amazing children can possibly be the "dangerous" individual that the Clinton camp wants - and needs - you all to believe that he is.

As I've repeatedly said, this is not a normal election.  It's not about issues, not about position papers, not about who is qualified or not qualified to hold the office.  It's not even about who is going to be able to raise and spend the most money.  In fact, all the money-grubbing Hillary is doing probably hurts her more than it helps at the end of the day.

This election is about communications and persuasion, which means that it is really about one thing:  Whether or not Donald Trump can convince most voters that he is not "dangerous".

That's why these four young adults are the most important aspect of this convention.  Sorry, Newt;  sorry, Chris;  sorry, Marco and Ted and even Mike Pence.  You are all just an irrelevant side show, time eaters on the agenda more than anything else.

The Trump kids are what matters, and Ivanka gets her turn to help humanize and elect her father tonight.  Does anyone doubt she will do a spectacular job?

************

About Ted Cruz:  Everyone needs to understand that Trump doesn't care about Cruz's refusal to keep his word and endorse the GOP nominee.  It doesn't matter to him.  He saw Sen. Cruz's script days in advance, and made no suggested changes to it.

Trump's world is about dominating the news cycle.  Doesn't matter to him if the news is positive or negative about him, so long as it is about him.  He takes whatever news comes, and plays off of it.  That's what he means when he says he is mostly a 'counter-puncher'.

Which is why he wasn't upset last night and his campaign people aren't upset this morning.  They knew Cruz was about to hang himself with the convention delegates, and gave him the rope to go do it with.  Thus, Cruz looks petty for refusing to keep his word, and Trump looks gracious for giving him the prime time speaking slot.

Sen. Cruz and his father both reportedly believe he is destined to become President of the United States.  That may indeed happen some day, but after last night, it most likely won't be as the nominee of the Republican Party.  But hey, the Libertarians are always looking for someone willing to carry their flag.